Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Redskins Need Improvement at All Defensive Positions

The Redskins don't have any defensive players they couldn't upgrade. That's not true on offense. Josh Norman gave them something, but no one could say he's more than above average. He uses his status to get away with look-at-me penalties, because he knows press criticism will be muted or nonexistent. That is selfish.

The biggest unexpected result of the 2016 season was the decline of cornerback Bashaud Breeland. He'd been their best coverage back in 2015, but was as responsible as anyone for their 0-2 start in 2016, played not much better the rest of the year, and only got back to semi-normal in the last couple games. The reason for his decline isn't clear. Perhaps the signing of Norman had something to do with it. What I found odd was that there was not a single article dedicated to explaining the decline of Breeland in the mainstream media. So I genuinely have no idea why his production dropped off. He was not injured, so far as I know. He had no personal life changes that might have affected him. The Norman signing is all I can point to, but I suspect that is not the only factor. His decline was certainly mentioned many times, but never analyzed.

In the offseason before the 2017 season, the Redskins need to do two things:

1) sign Cousins to a five-year contract
2) upgrade their defense as much as they possibly can

If the Skins can become even an average defensive team, they will be no worse than the sixth best team in the league. Their offense is so good now that with any kind of defensive help, it will be able to put up more points than all but the top handful of teams on a good day.

If I were GM, I would try to buy my way to a good defense, as the Giants notably managed to do in the offseason preceding 2016, as well as drafting as many good defensive players as I could find. The Redskins offense is set. If they come across a great running back or left guard, sign him. But if not, they're fine with what they have. They'll get at least decent production out of Kelley, and that's all they need. They have enough reliable hands to catch passes. Their punter is great. Their kicker should be at least above average. What they need is at least low-mediocre run stopping. They should sign no less than two DL who are proven league-average at stopping the run. That is the absolute minimum they should be expected to accomplish this offseason, and it is the most important way they can upgrade the team, assuming, as we must, they bring Cousins back. If they don't do that, then the rest of their changes won't mean much. Lol at those who think Colt McCoy is even 80% of Cousins. If he were, he wouldn't be a backup. It might even be good to trade McCoy for DL help, if they think Sudfeld has potential.

I study the Skins because I intend to make a significant investment on their season win total. I intend to bet over 9 wins, that's the projection, if things proceed as I expect them to. It all starts with bringing back Cousins. If that doesn't happen, then it's a completely different proposition.

The Redskins have gone 9-7 and 8-7-1 the last two seasons. This masks the fact that they played an easy schedule in 2015, and threw away at least three wins in 2016, Contrary to the Bill Parcells statement, in many cases you are what your record isn't, That is, the record conceals as often as it reveals, at least for investment considerations. In this case, the very real development of the Skins is hidden by their record. The 2015 schedule was easy, as the team was coming off a lousy year; the 2016 record was one of the toughest in the league. The 2017 schedule will also be tough, but not as tough as 2016. The Skins true record this year was 10-12 wins, not 8. They will come closer to their 'correct' level in 2017, and that is likely to be 10 or 11 wins. Thus, betting over 9 is probably the way to go. The challenge is to estimate what we think the record is likely to be, then measure off return against risk to find the optimal point. Right now, I believe that point is probably going to be 9. Almost certainly it will be in the five numbers in the 8-10 range: 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10.

So we can derive not only political insight from studying the Redskins, and their media coverage, but financial return. And they are related. The (((media))) loathe white Christian men, particularly conservatives ones. See Tim Tebow. This loathing leads them to lie. Part of the lying is misrepresenting their true potential. So antiWhites like Steven A Smith and lefty flamers like his old partner Skip Bayless underestimate Cousins - out of their racial hatred and their ideology. They're on tv bruiting their nonsense 24/7, and this general environment their ilk creates affects public perception, which in turn affects the betting numbers and linemakers. We evil "racists," to use the common jewish-communist parlance, are the only ones looking at things realistically, the only ones attempting honest evaluation, and we can and should profit financially and politically from seeing through the inverted reality the media jews present. It's the mission of this blog not just to help you understand how we're all being continually gaslighted -- but to profit from it.

Redskins 2017 Schedule (dates not set)
HOME:Dallas, NY Giants, Philadelphia, Arizona, San Francisco, Denver, Oakland, Minnesota
AWAY:Dallas, NY Giants, Philadelphia, LA Rams, Seattle, Kansas City, LA Chargers, New Orleans
Opening weekend is September 10th in 2017. We won't analyze the schedule here. That will come later. As of the start of February, we have seven months and a week to study our options.


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